Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1339.546550 1530.047107 1744.052792 2003.427640 2310.812041 2665.343822 3107.905621
2025-07-20 1061.023223 1308.993434 1615.114420 2025.553875 2568.707964 3273.225830 4273.445744
2025-07-27 916.271901 1186.331444 1540.318306 2047.340815 2770.104930 3787.452471 5372.644550
2025-08-03 811.514164 1091.629171 1476.825086 2059.106830 2942.278700 4275.407723 6530.004608
2025-08-10 748.408159 1041.064398 1460.944762 2127.226888 3197.012662 4921.236857 8076.807988
2025-08-17 694.898247 995.220339 1442.416408 2183.370943 3435.989722 5580.947375 9811.555571
2025-08-24 645.433993 948.233419 1414.114782 2216.368418 3637.497393 6210.984442 11659.154388
2025-08-31 600.512294 902.454583 1380.819979 2233.849711 3811.223539 6820.960997 13639.050657
2025-09-07 567.075096 870.794251 1365.662218 2278.497906 4039.174752 7578.712892 16171.076413
2025-09-14 517.174189 807.175061 1289.827746 2203.462780 4024.110582 7837.299334 17621.207381
2025-09-21 474.291195 751.308625 1221.413799 2132.837378 4005.251091 8081.791251 19114.284385
2025-09-28 434.662928 697.605237 1151.582813 2050.725351 3949.276872 8231.244970 20406.577636
2025-10-05 422.165720 690.487988 1165.495173 2136.162821 4270.682158 9346.844250 24915.228739
2025-10-12 402.671536 669.352386 1151.725315 2164.568361 4472.751827 10227.846054 29142.843786
2025-10-19 384.399873 648.715782 1136.564451 2187.564379 4665.912795 11135.797732 33912.277177
2025-10-26 366.602556 627.408478 1117.907711 2200.392364 4836.957261 12030.649999 39123.944471
2025-11-02 356.929004 620.443742 1126.546674 2274.200773 5174.443889 13501.952704 47474.588544
2025-11-09 346.497690 611.105408 1129.372446 2335.073635 5490.984859 15011.841633 57062.997069
2025-11-16 334.355848 597.434083 1121.918349 2370.861614 5747.449691 16415.707994 67259.767824
2025-11-23 321.576029 581.502962 1108.213957 2389.825054 5961.142820 17749.940444 78244.128023
2025-11-30 312.193439 571.664689 1106.560403 2438.270041 6271.573320 19542.946769 93498.347710
2025-12-07 292.998606 540.504131 1055.946340 2356.863446 6175.192085 19783.192340 99596.637078
2025-12-14 275.613877 512.021466 1009.138109 2280.283806 6081.774527 20015.847067 105971.938499